
SevereWeatherTracking.com main goal is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to your area during Severe Weather!
Severe Weather Resources
- NOAA NWS Storm Prediction Center
- Weather Nerds TC Guidance
- Twister Data Model Guidance
- Albany GFS/ EURO Models/ Ensembles
- Pivotal Weather Model Guidance
- Weather Online Model Guidance
- UKMet Model Guidance/ Analysis/ Sat
- ECMWF (EURO) Model Guidance
- WXCharts Model Guidance
- NOAA NESDIS GOES Satellite
- CyclonicWX Tropical Resources
2026 Severe Weather Tracking Outlooks And More
Western Gulf Coast Radar Loop
Eastern Gulf Coast Radar
East Coast Radar
Northeast Coast Radar
Precipitation Forecasts
Next 24 Hours QPF Total
Next 5 days QPF Totals
Next 7 Days QPF Totals
SPC Day 2 Severe Weather Outlook
SPC Day 3 Severe Weather Outlook
SPC Day 1 Tornado Outlook
SPC Day 2 Tornado Outlook
SPC Day 1 Severe Wind Outlook
SPC Day 2 Severe Wind Outlook
SPC Day 1 Severe Hail Outlook
SPC Day 2 Severe Hail Outlook
SPC Day 2 Severe Weather Outlook
SPC Day 3 Severe Weather Outlook
SPC Day 1 Tornado Outlook
SPC Day 2 Tornado Outlook
SPC Day 1 Severe Wind Outlook
SPC Day 2 Severe Wind Outlook
SPC Day 1 Severe Hail Outlook
SPC Day 2 Severe Hail Outlook
SPC Day 2 Severe Weather Outlook
SPC Day 3 Severe Weather Outlook
SPC Day 1 Tornado Outlook
SPC Day 2 Tornado Outlook
SPC Day 1 Severe Wind Outlook
SPC Day 2 Severe Wind Outlook
SPC Day 1 Severe Hail Outlook
SPC Day 2 Severe Hail Outlook
SPC Day 2 Severe Weather Outlook
SPC Day 3 Severe Weather Outlook
SPC Day 1 Tornado Outlook
SPC Day 2 Tornado Outlook
SPC Day 1 Severe Wind Outlook
SPC Day 2 Severe Wind Outlook
SPC Day 1 Severe Hail Outlook
SPC Day 2 Severe Hail Outlook
Severe Weather Season 101
What “Severe Weather” Actually MeansMeteorologists define severe thunderstorms using specific criteria used by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the Storm Prediction Center.
A thunderstorm is severe if it produces at least one of these:
• Hail 1 inch diameter or larger (quarter size)
• Wind gusts 58 mph or stronger
• A tornado
Other dangerous effects can include:
⚡ frequent lightning
🌧 flash flooding
🌪 rotating storms capable of tornadoes
Severe weather follows warm air moving northward in spring.
Typical U.S. timeline....
January–February
Gulf Coast severe storms
Florida, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama
March–April
Deep South becomes very active
April–May
Peak tornado season for the Southeast
May–June
Peak tornado season for the Plains
June–July
Northern Plains and Midwest
Late summer
Severe storms shift north into the Dakotas and Upper Midwest
Why the U.S. Gets So Much Severe Weather??
The U.S. is basically perfectly designed for violent storms because three air masses collide...
Warm moist air
Comes from the Gulf of Mexico
Cold dry air
Comes from Canada
Hot dry air
Comes from the Southwest deserts
When these collide with strong winds aloft, storms can rotate and intensify.
4. The Key Ingredients for Severe Storms
Meteorologists look for four main ingredients:
1️⃣ Moisture
Warm humid air fuels storms.
Typical source:
Gulf of Mexico moisture
2️⃣ Instability
Warm air near the surface and colder air above.
This creates rising air.
Higher instability = stronger storms.
3️⃣ Lift
Something must trigger storms.
Examples:
Cold fronts
Warm fronts
Drylines
Outflow boundaries
4️⃣ Wind Shear
Wind changing direction or speed with height.
Wind shear is what allows storms to rotate.
5. Supercells (The Most Dangerous Storms)
The most powerful severe storms are called supercells.
Characteristics:
🌪 rotating updraft (mesocyclone)
🌧 very large hail
💨 destructive winds
🌪 strong tornado potential
Supercells can last hours, unlike normal storms.
6. Tornado Alley vs Dixie Alley
Tornado Alley
Classic U.S. tornado region.
States include:
Texas
Oklahoma
Kansas
Nebraska
Why it's active:
Dryline collisions
Huge instability
Strong jet stream winds
Dixie Alley
Southeast tornado hotspot.
States include:
Mississippi
Alabama
Tennessee
Louisiana
Why it's dangerous:
⚠ storms often occur at night
⚠ more trees and hills
⚠ more populated areas
7. Types of Severe Thunderstorms
Single Cell
Short-lived storms (30–45 minutes).
Usually produce:
heavy rain
lightning
Multicell Clusters
Groups of storms.
Common hazards:
strong winds
hail
Squall Lines
Long lines of storms along a cold front.
Often produce:
💨 damaging straight-line winds
🌧 heavy rain
⚡ frequent lightning
Sometimes they form derechos (long-lived windstorms).
Supercells
The most dangerous storm type.
Produce:
giant hail
violent tornadoes
destructive winds
8. The Role of the Jet Stream
The jet stream acts like a steering wheel for storms.
Strong jet stream = stronger severe weather setups.
It also provides:
wind shear
storm organization
large storm systems
9. Climate Patterns That Influence Severe Weather
El Niño
Often shifts severe weather southward.
More storms:
Gulf Coast
Southeast
La Niña
Often increases severe weather in:
Plains
Midwest
10. How Meteorologists Predict Severe Weather
Forecasting happens in layers of increasing confidence.
Days in advance
Meteorologists watch:
moisture return
jet stream patterns
cold fronts
3–5 days out
The Storm Prediction Center issues outlooks.
Risk levels:
🟩 Marginal
🟨 Slight
🟧 Enhanced
🟥 Moderate
🟪 High
Day of event
Storm Prediction Center issues:
⚠ Severe Thunderstorm Watches
🌪 Tornado Watches
Storm happening
Local National Weather Service offices issue:
🚨 Warnings
These mean:
Severe weather is occurring or imminent.
11. Radar Signatures Storm Trackers Watch
Storm trackers and meteorologists watch radar for:
Hook echo
Classic tornado signature
Debris ball
Tornado lofting debris
Bow echo
Damaging wind events
Velocity couplets
Strong rotation
12. Severe Weather Safety Basics
When a tornado warning is issued:
Go to:
lowest floor
interior room
away from windows
Best places:
✔ basement
✔ bathroom
✔ closet
Avoid:
❌ mobile homes
❌ vehicles
❌ large open rooms
13. Why Spring Is the Peak Season
Spring has the perfect combination of:
🔥 increasing warmth
❄ leftover cold air
💨 strong jet stream
This combination creates volatile atmospheric setups.
Bonus: Why Storm Chasers Love May
May often has:
massive instability
strong jet stream
classic drylines
This creates the most photogenic tornadoes.
✅ Quick Summary
Severe weather needs:
1️⃣ Moisture
2️⃣ Instability
3️⃣ Lift
4️⃣ Wind shear
When all four combine, you can get:
🌩 supercells
🌪 tornadoes
🧊 giant hail
💨 destructive winds











